Sponsors of a measure to create a single payer health care system in New York offered a revised bill, but its future is uncertain. Governor Andrew Cuomo says the state might not be able to afford it.
Assembly sponsor Richard Gottfried, who has championed the issue of single- payer for several years, says the bill, known as the New York Health Act, has now been amended to include coverage for long term health care, including home health aides and nursing homes.
He says the addition, among other things, will benefit women, who lose income under the present system.
“It often means that a family member, in our culture, usually a woman, gives up a career, income, a large part of her life to care for a family member,” Gottfried said. “That is not morally or socially acceptable.”
Although the measure has been approved several times in the Assembly, it stalled in the Senate , where until this year, Republicans controlled the chamber.
Democrats now hold the majority, and Senate sponsor Gustavo Rivera says hearings on the measure will be held this spring. But Rivera says he does not expect the bill, which has fiscal implications, to be part of the state budget package that’s due April 1. He says that’s not necessarily a sign that the measure lacks enough support.
“I’ve always thought that complicated issues like this should not be dealt with in the budget,” Rivera said. “ and not have to do it under a timeline of just April 1st.”
A Rand Corporation study in August of 2018 found that total health care spending would be slightly lower under the plan, but it would require $139 billion dollars in additional state revenue to make the transition. And it said that employers would ultimately pay less money under a pay roll tax in the measure than they currently pay to health insurance companies for premiums.
Business groups disagree, and say the costs are closer to $250 billion dollars. A coalition formed to oppose the measure, called Realities of Single Payer, calls it a “quarter of a trillion dollar boondoggle,” and “malpractice” by lawmakers.
Michael Kracker is with Unshackle Upstate, which is part of the coalition.
“This is what amounts to the largest tax increase in history,” said Kracker. “The costs are really unprecedented.”
Kracker, says in addition, around 150,000 New Yorkers employed in the health insurance industry would lose their jobs.
He says business leaders are not completely happy with the current system, but he says it’s better to work with the existing structure, that includes health exchanges under the federal Affordable Care Act, than to make big changes. He says he backs a plan by Governor Cuomo to create a commission to provide coverage to the 5% of New Yorkers who currently lack insurance.
“That’s a common sense approach,” Kracker said.
Assemblyman Gottfried says the business groups’ predictions of increased expenses are exaggerated.
“No thoughtful observer who has studied this topic agrees with those wacky numbers,” Gottfried said.
He says similar concerns were expressed in the 1960’s, when the federal government initiated Medicare for older Americans. He says it is now a universally valued program.
Governor Andrew Cuomo, asked about the measure in an unrelated news conference, says he doesn’t think the state can afford to enact single -payer all by itself.
“Single- payer in theory makes sense, in practice I don’t see how you do it without doing it on a federal level,” said Cuomo. “States have tried to do it on their own. They’ve all failed.”
Cuomo says the Rand report indicates that the state budget would have to be “doubled” in size to implement single- payer. He says that’s even more of an obstacle now that the state has a $2.3 billion dollar budget deficit.